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Gulf Press > Gulf News > Can doctors predict cognitive decline in the near future?
Gulf News

Can doctors predict cognitive decline in the near future?

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Last updated: 2024/07/11 at 12:24 PM
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Alzheimer’s disease is the most common form of dementia, affecting almost 7 million people in the United States alone. Predicting the progression of the disease in individuals has been a challenge, but a research team in Amsterdam has developed a model that can forecast cognitive decline in people with mild cognitive impairment or mild dementia due to Alzheimer’s. The team aims to use this model to create an app that clinicians can use to personalize treatments and forecasts for patients.

According to the Alzheimer’s Association, one in three seniors in the United States will die with Alzheimer’s or another form of dementia. Memory decline is a normal part of aging, but when it starts to impact daily functioning, it may be a sign of mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Some people with MCI go on to develop dementia, such as Alzheimer’s, but predicting this progression is difficult due to the variability of symptoms and the quality of dementia care available.

The model developed by the Amsterdam University Medical Center predicts cognitive decline in individuals with MCI or mild dementia due to Alzheimer’s disease. The model provides a prognosis for cognitive decline on an individual basis, which can help tailor Alzheimer’s care for patients. The researchers recruited participants from the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort and analyzed their Mini-Mental State Examination scores over time to model cognitive decline.

The study found that Mini-Mental State Examination scores declined over time for participants with MCI and mild dementia, with cognitive decline accelerating as time passed. Using these scores, MRI scan results, and biomarkers, the researchers were able to model MMSE scores over time for both MCI and mild dementia. They also predicted how long it would take for individuals to reach certain threshold MMSE scores, and how a treatment intervention could potentially reduce cognitive decline by 30%.

The researchers have also designed a prototype app for clinicians, called adappt.health, which includes a communication sheet for sharing predictions with patients and carers. While the model provides valuable information for predicting cognitive decline in Alzheimer’s patients, there is still uncertainty in the predictions, as each patient’s trajectory can vary. Nonetheless, this research lays the foundation for prognostic tools that can help patients and carers understand what to expect following an Alzheimer’s diagnosis.

In conclusion, the model developed by the Amsterdam University Medical Center provides a promising step forward in predicting cognitive decline in individuals with MCI or mild dementia due to Alzheimer’s disease. By using this model to create an app for clinicians, personalized treatments and forecasts can be tailored to individual patients, ultimately leading to better care for those affected by Alzheimer’s. This research sets the stage for further advancements in understanding and managing Alzheimer’s disease, offering hope for the future of dementia care.

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News Room July 11, 2024
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