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Reading: Weekly GBP/USD Price Analysis: Records losses, remains directionless below 1.2650
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Home » Weekly GBP/USD Price Analysis: Records losses, remains directionless below 1.2650
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Weekly GBP/USD Price Analysis: Records losses, remains directionless below 1.2650

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Last updated: 2024/06/28 at 8:59 PM
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The GBP/USD pair remained steady following a positive UK GDP report and a rise in the US PCE Index. The pair traded at 1.2642 during the North American session on Friday, with technicals capping it below the key level of 1.2700, crucial for buyer momentum. Despite the positive UK GDP report, the uptick in the US PCE Index limited the gains for the GBP/USD pair.

The technical outlook for the GBP/USD pair indicates that after bouncing off weekly lows, the pair is facing resistance below the 1.2700 psychological level. Strong support is seen at the confluence of the 50 and 100-day moving averages at 1.2634/45, which could lead to further downside if breached. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that sellers are dominant, indicating the potential for additional losses in the pair.

In terms of price action, the first support for the GBP/USD pair is seen at the psychological level of 1.2600. If this level is broken, the next challenge would be the 200-DMA at 1.2555, followed by the 1.2500 mark. To see a bullish continuation, traders need to reclaim the 1.2700 level and clear a previous support trendline turned resistance around 1.2730/40.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world, dating back to 886 AD, and is the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded currency in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, with key trading pairs including GBP/USD (‘Cable’), GBP/JPY (‘Dragon’), and EUR/GBP. The value of the Pound Sterling is heavily influenced by monetary policy decisions made by the Bank of England, with interest rates playing a crucial role in determining the currency’s strength.

Various data releases, such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment figures, can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. A strong economy is beneficial for the Pound Sterling as it attracts foreign investment and may lead to higher interest rates, strengthening the currency. Additionally, the Trade Balance indicator, which measures the difference between exports and imports, can also influence the value of the Pound Sterling. A positive trade balance strengthens the currency, while a negative balance can lead to depreciation.

Overall, the GBP/USD pair remains steady following positive economic data from the UK, despite facing resistance near the 1.2700 level. Technical indicators suggest that sellers are in control, raising the risk of further downside in the pair. Traders will be closely watching key levels and data releases to determine the future direction of the GBP/USD pair in the forex markets.

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News Room June 28, 2024
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