The NZD/USD pair remains under the key Simple Moving Averages (SMA) of 20, 100, and 200 days, indicating a sustained bearish bias. With the pair struggling to break above the 0.6070 level, it closed the week at 0.6010, marking its worst week since January with a weekly loss of approximately 1.80%. This downward momentum was further supported by daily technical indicators, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 36 and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showing increasing bearish sentiment.
Looking at the daily chart, resistance levels are currently seen at 0.6070 and 0.6100, while strong support is found at the 0.6000 line. A break below this level could lead to further downside towards the 0.6450-0.6470 range. If the bearish trend continues and pushes the pair below these support levels, it would reinforce the bearish narrative for NZD/USD.
The ongoing bearish sentiment in the NZD/USD pair can be attributed to various factors, including global economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and a stronger US dollar. The recent resurgence of COVID-19 cases worldwide has also weighed on risk sentiment, leading to a flight to safety and boosting demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven currency. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s dovish monetary policy stance has further added pressure on the New Zealand dollar.
As market participants continue to monitor developments in the global economy and geopolitical landscape, the outlook for the NZD/USD pair remains uncertain. Traders will be closely watching key levels of support and resistance, as well as upcoming economic data releases and central bank announcements for potential catalysts that could influence the pair’s direction. With the current bearish bias in place, caution is advised for traders looking to navigate the NZD/USD pair in the coming weeks.