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Reading: Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD drops to $26 despite underwhelming US NFP data
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Gulf Press > Business > Forex > Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD drops to $26 despite underwhelming US NFP data
Forex

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD drops to $26 despite underwhelming US NFP data

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Last updated: 2024/05/03 at 10:03 PM
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The price of silver has dropped to $26 despite a weaker-than-expected US NFP report for April, showing weak labor demand and soft wage growth. This has led investors to believe that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in September. This has negatively impacted the US Dollar and bond yields, with the US Dollar Index reaching a three-week low and 10-year US Treasury Yields weakening to 4.49%.

The Silver price decline is also influenced by lower yields on interest-bearing assets, which decreases the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Silver. However, there is potential for the Silver price to reverse its losses ahead. The technical analysis shows that Silver’s price has dropped near a horizontal support level around $26.09, previously a major resistance level. The price has also fallen below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $27.20, indicating uncertainty in Silver’s near-term outlook.

Despite the short-term decline, the long-term outlook for Silver remains stable. The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped into the 40.00-60.00 range, suggesting a fading bullish momentum. Investors will be closely watching future economic indicators and Fed policy decisions to determine Silver’s future price movements.

Overall, the weak US NFP report for April has led to a decrease in Silver prices, driven by expectations of a potential Fed rate cut in September. The impact of lower yields on interest-bearing assets has contributed to the decline in Silver prices, but there is still a possibility of a reversal in the near future. Traders and investors will continue to monitor economic data and Fed actions to gauge Silver’s performance in the coming months.

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News Room May 3, 2024
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