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Reading: Societe Generale predicts that the Bank of Japan will likely increase the policy rate in September.
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Gulf Press > Uncategorized > Societe Generale predicts that the Bank of Japan will likely increase the policy rate in September.
Uncategorized

Societe Generale predicts that the Bank of Japan will likely increase the policy rate in September.

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Last updated: 2024/06/15 at 6:11 AM
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The Bank of Japan (BoJ) recently announced that it would start reducing its Japanese Government Bond (JGB) purchases after its July monetary policy meeting and that it would lay out the details of its reduction plan for the next one to two years. This decision comes as the BoJ aims to scale back its monthly JGB purchases to zero over the next one to two years. Prior to this announcement, it was predicted that the purchase amount would decrease gradually, but the pressure from the government to address the weak yen has led to a revised scenario of a reduction starting in August.

The reduction plan is expected to result in purchases declining by JPY1tn every three months, eventually reaching zero by November of next year. This move by the BoJ is seen as a response to the weak yen and is likely to have an impact on the market. As a result, the likelihood of a rate hike at the July meeting may be reduced. However, despite this potential impact on the market, analysts continue to expect a rate hike at the September meeting, as the BoJ works towards achieving its monetary policy objectives.

The decision by the BoJ to reduce its JGB purchases signifies a shift in its approach towards monetary policy and aims to address the ongoing challenges faced by the Japanese economy. This move comes at a time when central banks around the world are adopting various measures to support their respective economies and navigate the uncertain global economic landscape. By gradually reducing its JGB purchases, the BoJ is signaling its commitment to maintaining the stability of the Japanese financial market while also addressing the needs of the economy.

The announcement by the BoJ has raised speculation about the potential impact on the Japanese financial market and the broader economy. With the reduction plan expected to be implemented over the next one to two years, market participants are closely monitoring the developments and assessing the implications for their investment strategies. The BoJ’s decision to lay out the details of its reduction plan at the July meeting is likely to provide more clarity on the timeline and specifics of the process, which will help investors make informed decisions.

Overall, the BoJ’s decision to reduce its JGB purchases reflects its cautious approach towards monetary policy and its efforts to strike a balance between supporting economic growth and ensuring financial stability. While there may be some uncertainty in the short term regarding the impact of the reduction plan on the market, the BoJ’s commitment to achieving its policy objectives and addressing the weak yen is likely to provide long-term benefits for the Japanese economy. As the BoJ moves forward with its reduction plan, market participants will continue to monitor the situation closely and adjust their strategies accordingly to navigate the evolving economic landscape.

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News Room June 15, 2024
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