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Gulf Press > Uncategorized > Predicting the Week Ahead: US Inflation Takes Center Stage… and More Federal Reserve Rhetoric!
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Predicting the Week Ahead: US Inflation Takes Center Stage… and More Federal Reserve Rhetoric!

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Last updated: 2024/05/10 at 5:57 PM
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The Greenback experienced a notable recovery this week amidst fluctuations in the foreign exchange market, ongoing monetary policy divergence, and cautious comments from the Federal Reserve. The US Dollar managed to reverse two weeks of losses and surpass the 105.00 barrier as US yields stabilized. In the upcoming week, key economic data releases such as Producer Prices, Consumer Price Index (CPI), Retail Sales, and the NAHB Housing Market Index will be closely watched. Additionally, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Initial Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, and Industrial Production figures are all scheduled for release.

EUR/USD recorded its fourth consecutive week of gains, although it struggled to break above the 1.0800 resistance level. Data releases from Germany, including the final Inflation Rate and ZEW’s Economic Sentiment, will provide insights into the euro area’s economic performance. The Eurozone’s GDP Growth Rate revision and final Inflation Rate figures are also expected next week, influencing the Euro’s direction.

GBP/USD faced a sharp decline, ending the week in negative territory as the US Dollar strengthened. Market participants closely monitored the Bank of England (BoE) event and positive economic data. The UK labor market report and BoE’s Financial Stability Report are scheduled for release, offering further clarity on the British Pound’s performance.

USD/JPY continued its upward trajectory driven by the weakening Japanese yen, despite concerns of potential FX intervention. Japan’s Producer Prices, preliminary GDP Growth Rate, and Foreign Bond Investment figures are anticipated next week, along with final Industrial Production prints.

AUD/USD closed the week slightly lower around the key 0.6600 level following a volatile trading session. Market focus will shift to key data releases such as the Australian Wage Price Index and labor market report in the upcoming week to gauge the Australian Dollar’s performance.

Looking ahead, Federal Reserve officials including Mester, Powell, and Bowman, and Bank of England’s Pill are scheduled to speak during the week. Central bank meetings, particularly the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) meeting on May 16, will shape monetary policies, impacting global currencies. Stay tuned for updates from central banks and economic data releases to navigate the dynamic foreign exchange market landscape effectively.

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News Room May 10, 2024
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