The USD/JPY pair has been on a steady rise since hitting lows in mid-September around 140. It is currently in the 149s and seems to have established an uptrend in the short and possibly medium term. This suggests that the momentum is in favor of further gains for the pair in the near future.
According to analysts, the next target for USD/JPY is at 151.09, followed by the 200-day Simple Moving Average and a major trendline in the 151.80s. These levels could act as key resistance points for the pair as it continues its upward movement.
However, despite the positive outlook, it is important to note that the pair is currently in overbought territory based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. This signals a potential pullback in the near future, which could see the pair retrace to support levels at 149.40 or even lower to 148.32.
Traders and investors are advised not to add to their long positions at this point, as there is a risk of a correction due to the overbought conditions. It is always important to keep an eye on key technical indicators like the RSI to gauge the market sentiment and potential turning points.
In conclusion, while USD/JPY continues to trend higher in the short and medium term, traders should exercise caution and be prepared for a potential pullback in the near future. Keeping a close watch on key support and resistance levels, as well as technical indicators like the RSI, will be crucial for making informed trading decisions in the current market environment.