Gold price ended in the red on Tuesday following recent gains and ahead of US inflation data. Despite some selling pressure, fears of wider conflicts and dovish Fed expectations should limit losses. The US Dollar remains weak near one-week lows, supporting gold prices. However, positive risk tone might cap gains for the safe-haven metal.
Middle East tensions and Fed rate cut bets keep gold price in check, close to all-time high. Reports of Hamas not participating in talks with Israel and Iranian threats of retaliation increase risks of broader conflicts. Weaker US inflation data opens door for Fed policy easing, pushing bond yields lower. Atlanta Fed President hints at rate cuts by year-end. Gold price may further benefit if US CPI data signals a need for bigger rate cuts.
Gold price’s technical analysis suggests bullish traders remain favored, with potential to surpass record highs and climb towards $2,500. Recent rally from 50-day SMA support and positive oscillators support upward movement. Key resistance levels may protect immediate downside, with potential to slide if not defended. Failure to hold support levels may expose lower targets, shifting bias towards bearish traders.
Gold has been historically valuable as a store of wealth and hedge against inflation and currency depreciation. Central banks are major holders of gold, adding record amounts to their reserves in 2022. The precious metal has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and treasuries, making it a popular investment in times of market turmoil. Geopolitical instability and economic concerns can quickly drive up gold prices, while a strong Dollar can keep prices under control.
In conclusion, gold price remains supported by geopolitical risks and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts. Technical analysis suggests a potential breakout towards $2,500, with key resistance levels in place. Central bank purchases and the yellow metal’s safe-haven status continue to drive investor interest. The impact of US economic data and market sentiment remain crucial factors influencing gold price movements in the near term.