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Reading: GBP/USD Forecast: 2024 Low Under Siege due to Risk Aversion
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Gulf Press > Business > Forex > GBP/USD Forecast: 2024 Low Under Siege due to Risk Aversion
Forex

GBP/USD Forecast: 2024 Low Under Siege due to Risk Aversion

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Last updated: 2025/01/02 at 5:55 PM
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UK manufacturing output contracted by more than expected in December, leading to the Pound Sterling (GBP) falling against the US Dollar (USD). Market players responded by buying the Greenback, causing the GBP/USD pair to hit fresh multi-month lows with a bearish stance. The faster-than-anticipated contraction in manufacturing output was attributed to various factors, including destocking at clients and subdued market confidence.

Financial markets are currently in a risk-averse mode due to concerns about central banks’ hawkish shifts and geopolitical tensions, pushing speculative interest into safety measures. The UK is set to release minor money-related data on Friday, which is not expected to have a significant impact on the GBP. In contrast, the US will release the December ISM Manufacturing PMI, which is expected to remain stable at 48.4. A better-than-expected reading could further support the USD.

The GBP/USD pair is currently trading around 1.2370, showing no signs of changing course in the near term. The pair has fallen for three consecutive trading days, with the next relevant support level at the 2024 low of 1.2298. Should the pair break below this level, it could potentially target the 1.2200 threshold. On the other hand, any potential gains in the GBP/USD pair are likely to be corrective, with the initial resistance at around the 1.2400 area and the December 20 low at 1.2474 serving as the next level to watch.

The British Pound showed strength today against the Euro, as indicated in the table showing the percentage change of the GBP against other major currencies. The heat map displays the percentage changes of major currencies against each other, with the base currency chosen from the left column and the quote currency chosen from the top row. This data can help traders and investors assess the relative strength or weakness of the British Pound compared to other currencies in the market.

In conclusion, the UK manufacturing output contraction and the resulting fall in the GBP against the USD have influenced market dynamics, with investors favoring safe-haven assets. The upcoming data releases in the UK and US will likely have implications for the GBP/USD pair, with potential opportunities for traders to capitalize on volatility. Keeping track of the percentage changes of major currencies can help market participants make informed decisions when trading the British Pound against other currencies.

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News Room January 2, 2025
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