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Reading: Danske Bank sees increasing recovery prospects in China
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Gulf Press > Business > Forex > Danske Bank sees increasing recovery prospects in China
Forex

Danske Bank sees increasing recovery prospects in China

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Last updated: 2024/10/02 at 1:19 PM
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The Chinese leadership has recently announced a package of growth-supporting initiatives and statements that have been well received by equity markets. Danske Bank’s analysts have noted that these measures raise hope of a growth rebound in China. The announcement includes a wide range of stimulus measures such as lower interest rates, a reduction in the reserve requirement ratio for banks, lower mortgage rates on existing loans, and measures to boost the equity market.

One of the key focus areas of the stimulus package is the Chinese housing market, which has been experiencing a decline. The Politburo’s leadership has sent a strong signal that they aim to halt this decline and stimulate growth in the housing sector. This move marks a shift from more moderate signals and stimulus in recent years. As a result of these actions, offshore Chinese equities have seen a sharp increase, with a 25% rise in just seven days – the largest 7-day increase since 2008. Investors have been quick to close underweight positions in Chinese equities due to the positive news.

While the full impact of the stimulus package remains to be seen, analysts believe that more measures will be rolled out if needed. It is expected that there will be a gradual improvement in Chinese housing and private consumption growth over the next year. These sectors are seen as key drivers that will help put the Chinese economy on a more solid footing. Overall, the strong policy signal from the Chinese leadership has raised hopes for a positive economic turnaround in the near future.

The Chinese government’s proactive approach to stimulating growth is seen as a positive development for the economy. Lowering interest rates and reducing the reserve requirement ratio for banks are expected to encourage borrowing and investment. Lower mortgage rates on existing loans will likely boost consumer spending and support the housing market. These measures, combined with efforts to lift the equity market, are aimed at bolstering overall economic growth in China.

Investors are closely monitoring the impact of these initiatives on the Chinese economy and global markets. The rapid increase in offshore Chinese equities following the announcement reflects the optimism surrounding the stimulus package. The shift towards a more pro-growth stance from the Chinese leadership is seen as a significant turning point after years of more moderate signals. The expectation of further stimulus measures if needed provides additional reassurance to investors and the market.

In conclusion, the Chinese government’s recent stimulus package and policy initiatives have been met with optimism by equity markets. The focus on boosting growth in key sectors such as housing and private consumption is expected to have a positive impact on the economy. As more stimulus measures are anticipated to be rolled out if needed, investors are hopeful for a gradual improvement in the Chinese economy over the coming year. The strong policy signal from the Chinese leadership is seen as a significant step towards putting the economy on a more solid footing and driving future growth.

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News Room October 2, 2024
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