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Gulf Press > Business > Forex > Commerzbank speculates on the future of gold prices
Forex

Commerzbank speculates on the future of gold prices

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Last updated: 2024/10/19 at 1:51 AM
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Gold prices have reached a new all-time high of over $2,700 per troy ounce, with experts noting that the market is expecting fewer interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve and a recent appreciation in the US dollar. Commerzbank commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch believes that the rise in Gold prices may be due to market momentum, with investors jumping on the bandwagon.

Despite the easing situation in the Middle East, the price of Gold continues to rise. Speculative net long positions in the market may provide some insight into this trend, with data from the CFTC set to be released soon. The uncertainty surrounding the upcoming US elections could also be a factor in the rising Gold prices.

Recent polls show that Donald Trump is gaining ground in the election race, raising the possibility of his return to the White House in January. If Trump wins, there is a higher risk of inflation, which could be favorable for Gold prices if the Federal Reserve does not react appropriately. Trump has been known to try to influence the Fed’s interest rate decisions, which could further impact Gold prices leading up to the elections.

Inflation risks are likely to increase if Trump wins the election, as he may push for policies that could lead to rising inflation. This uncertainty in the political landscape is contributing to the rise in Gold prices, as investors seek a safe haven asset amidst the potential risks. The volatility in the markets is also driving up demand for Gold as a hedge against economic uncertainties.

Overall, the current economic and political environment is creating a perfect storm for Gold prices to continue their upward trajectory. With the US elections looming and the potential for increased inflation under a Trump presidency, investors are turning to Gold as a safe haven asset. Speculative positioning in the market and market momentum are also driving up prices, leading to a new all-time high for the precious metal.

As the situation continues to unfold, it will be crucial for investors to closely monitor the latest developments in the market and geopolitical landscape. The upcoming US elections could have a significant impact on Gold prices, with the possibility of further increases if Trump’s chances of winning continue to rise. In the meantime, Gold remains a solid investment option for those looking to diversify their portfolios and protect against potential economic risks.

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News Room October 19, 2024
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