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Gulf Press > Business > Forex > China’s Gold Demand wanes as Prices Hit New Record Highs – Commerzbank
Forex

China’s Gold Demand wanes as Prices Hit New Record Highs – Commerzbank

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Last updated: 2024/09/21 at 9:52 AM
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The price of Gold reached a new record high of $2,600 per troy ounce, indicating a potential exhaustion of upside potential in the market. This milestone was celebrated in response to the Federal Reserve’s significant interest rate movement. However, the high prices have had an impact on physical demand, as seen in the sharp decline in China’s Gold imports. Import levels fell to 44.6 tons in July, the lowest in two years, following a previous month of steep drops. New import quotas have been issued to Chinese banks in August, but there is limited buying interest due to weakening jewelry demand. The only demand that remains strong is investment demand, as evidenced by the lack of Gold purchases by the Chinese central bank in August.

The record high price of Gold has sparked concerns about the sustainability of its upward trajectory, with Commerzbank’s analyst Barbara Lambrecht highlighting the potential for exhaustion in the market. The recent milestone of $2,600 per troy ounce was reached following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate actions. However, the impact of high prices on physical demand is evident in the significant decrease in China’s Gold imports, which reached a two-year low in July. Despite new import quotas being allocated to Chinese banks in August, buying interest remains low, particularly in the jewelry sector. This is further supported by the absence of Gold purchases by the Chinese central bank in August.

The decline in China’s Gold imports is a key indicator of the impact of high Gold prices on physical demand. The drop to 44.6 tons in July, the lowest level in two years, reflects weakening jewelry demand and the dominance of investment demand in the market. Despite new import quotas being issued to Chinese banks in August, the overall buying interest in Gold remains subdued. This is further evidenced by the lack of Gold purchases by the Chinese central bank in August, leading to expectations of low Gold imports from Hong Kong. The shift towards investment demand in the Gold market underscores the impact of high prices on consumer behavior and preferences in China.

The rise in Gold prices to a new record high of $2,600 per troy ounce has raised questions about the sustainability of its upward trajectory. This significant milestone was achieved in response to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate actions, which had a direct impact on the Gold market. However, the high prices have had a noticeable impact on physical demand, particularly in China. The sharp decline in Gold imports to 44.6 tons in July, the lowest level in two years, reflects weakening jewelry demand and a shift towards investment demand. The allocation of new import quotas to Chinese banks in August has not boosted buying interest, as evidenced by the lack of Gold purchases by the Chinese central bank.

The downward trend in China’s Gold imports is indicative of the challenges posed by high Gold prices on physical demand. The drop in imports to 44.6 tons in July, the lowest level in two years, highlights the impact of weakening jewelry demand and the resilience of investment demand. Despite attempts to stimulate buying interest through new import quotas allocated to Chinese banks in August, the overall demand for Gold remains subdued. The lack of Gold purchases by the Chinese central bank in August further reinforces expectations of low Gold imports from Hong Kong. The current dynamics in the Gold market underscore the complex relationship between price levels, consumer behavior, and market forces shaping the future of Gold trading.

In conclusion, the record high Gold prices of $2,600 per troy ounce may signal a potential exhaustion of upside potential in the market, according to Commerzbank’s commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht. The milestone was achieved following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate actions, which had a direct impact on the Gold market. However, the high prices have dampened physical demand, particularly in China, as reflected by the sharp decline in Gold imports. The shift towards investment demand and weakening jewelry demand in China further underscores the challenges posed by high Gold prices on consumer behavior. Despite new import quotas being issued in August, the overall buying interest in Gold remains low, with the Chinese central bank refraining from Gold purchases. These dynamics highlight the evolving landscape of the Gold market and the need for careful monitoring of market trends and consumer preferences.

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News Room September 21, 2024
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