Fitch Ratings believes that the recent efforts by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to enhance corporate governance and risk management in non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs) could potentially reduce industry risks in the long term. However, in the near future, this may lead to increased business volatility for affected non-bank entities. The RBI has recently issued advisories highlighting compliance gaps in the NBFI sector, including a clarification that NBFIs must adhere to regulatory caps on cash loan disbursals below Rs 20,000. This is in contrast to the higher Rs 200,000 limit for general cash transactions for individuals, which some lenders had previously adopted.
Gold loan transactions in India are commonly conducted in cash, especially for rural and semi-urban borrowers. Fitch notes that the average loan sizes for rated gold loan providers range from Rs 50,000 to Rs 80,000, with a significant portion previously being disbursed in cash. The RBI’s directive is expected to push lenders towards adopting bank-based disbursement methods. While the share of gold loan disbursements to bank accounts had been increasing prior to the advisory, the shift may impact new lending as borrowers transition to banking transactions. Fitch predicts that some cash borrowers may turn to alternative channels, such as the informal sector.
Despite the potential slowdown in lending due to the transition to bank-based disbursals, Fitch expects the credit profiles of major gold loan providers like Muthoot Finance Ltd and Manappuram Finance Limited to remain resilient to the recent regulatory developments. The rating agency suggests that as cash borrowers shift towards banking transactions, lenders may face new risks. In a separate move, the RBI had previously directed IIFL Finance Ltd to halt the sanctioning and disbursing of gold loans, citing material supervisory concerns such as deviations in gold purity certification, breaches in Loan-to-Value ratio, and excessive cash disbursals.
Overall, Fitch believes that the RBI’s focus on enhancing corporate governance and risk management in NBFIs is a positive step towards reducing industry risks in the long term. However, the immediate impact may lead to increased business volatility for affected non-bank entities. While the transition to bank-based loan disbursals may slow new lending, Fitch expects major gold loan providers to maintain resilient credit profiles amid the changing regulatory landscape. The shift towards banking transactions may pose new risks for lenders, but could also provide opportunities for growth and improved transparency in the sector.