The EUR/USD pair has been maintaining a strong position, according to Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank. However, the Euro has slightly decreased from its peak earlier in the week as short-term yield spreads have corrected. Despite this correction, the Euro continues to be supported by narrow yield spreads between the Eurozone and the US, which are currently at their narrowest in over a year. This suggests that there may be limited downside for the Euro in the near future.
On the intraday chart, there is a neutral price action, with selling pressure increasing in the upper 1.11s as investors take profits on their long EUR positions. However, the broader trend remains positive with bullishly-aligned trend strength signals on short, medium, and long-term oscillators. This indicates that while there may be some minor dips in the Euro to the upper 1.10s or low 1.11s, these should be well-supported.
Overall, the EUR/USD pair is likely to continue to see support from narrow yield spreads and positive trend signals on various time frames. While there may be some profit-taking and selling pressure in the short term, the broader outlook for the Euro remains positive. Traders should keep an eye on key levels in the upper 1.10s and low 1.11s for potential support as the pair continues to trade within a firm undertone.
It is important for traders to monitor the intraday chart for any signs of selling pressure or profit-taking in the upper 1.11s. While the overall trend remains positive, there may be some short-term fluctuations in the EUR/USD pair. However, the Euro’s gains are likely to be limited by the narrow yield spreads between the Eurozone and the US, which continue to support the currency.
In conclusion, while the Euro has drifted off its highs for the week, it remains in a strong position supported by narrow yield spreads and positive trend signals. Traders should be prepared for potential minor dips in the Euro to the upper 1.10s or low 1.11s, but these are likely to be well-supported. Overall, the EUR/USD pair is expected to continue trading within a firm undertone with limited downside potential for the Euro in the short term.