The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has been showing signs of strength, with UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann noting that if the currency does not breach the 0.6215 level, it could potentially test 0.6265 before pausing. In the longer term, the NZD is expected to continue its upward momentum, and it remains to be seen if it can reach the year-to-date high of 0.6320.
In the short term, the bulls may attempt to test the 0.6265 level. Despite a recent sharp advance in the currency, upward momentum has not increased significantly. However, as long as the minor support level of 0.6215 is not breached, the NZD could potentially reach 0.6265 before pausing its advance.
Looking ahead to the next 1-3 weeks, it is noted that the NZD remains in an overbought condition. While the expectation is for the currency to continue advancing, there is caution about whether it can reach the year-to-date high of 0.6320. If the NZD were to break below the 0.6180 level, it would indicate a weakening in strength and potential for a reversal in the upward trend.
Overall, the NZD is showing signs of strength and potential for further advancement. However, caution is advised due to the overbought conditions and the possibility of a pause in the advance around the 0.6265 level. If the currency can maintain support above 0.6215, it may have a chance to test the year-to-date high of 0.6320.
In conclusion, the NZD is currently on an upward trajectory, with the potential to test key levels such as 0.6265 and 0.6320. Traders should keep a close watch on support levels such as 0.6215 and 0.6180 for indications of potential reversals in the trend. Despite the strong outlook for the NZD, it is important to stay cautious and monitor market conditions for any changes in the currency’s momentum.