The GBP/USD pair remains close to an over two-month peak, trading around the 1.2775-1.2780 area during the Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar struggles to gain momentum after bouncing from a two-month low, as expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut later this year continue to rise. On the other hand, the Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, supporting the British Pound and providing a boost to the GBP/USD pair.
Despite short-lived bullish momentum that pushed the GBP/USD pair to its highest level since March, the pair is now trading below 1.2800 as safe haven flows bolster the Greenback. Market sentiment is shifting towards Greenback bids as hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut are pushed out to November. UK BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales grew less than expected for the year ending in May, while US JOLTS Job Openings in April also missed forecasts. These data releases have dampened risk sentiment and led to the decline in the GBP/USD pair.
The outlook for the GBP/USD pair remains uncertain as market sentiment fluctuates and economic data continues to disappoint. Traders are closely watching developments related to interest rates in both the US and UK, as well as any clues from central banks regarding future policy decisions. With the potential for increased volatility in the currency markets, traders are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor price movements in the GBP/USD pair.
Technical analysis of the GBP/USD pair suggests that bullish potential remains intact, despite the recent pullback below 1.2800. Key support levels to watch include the 1.2750 and 1.2700 levels, while resistance levels are seen at 1.2800 and 1.2850. Traders should pay attention to any breakout above or below these levels, as it could signal further momentum in either direction.
In conclusion, the GBP/USD pair is trading near a two-month peak, supported by expectations of central bank policy decisions. Safe haven flows are boosting the Greenback, leading to a pullback in the GBP/USD pair. Economic data releases are also impacting market sentiment and influencing price movements in the pair. Traders should stay informed about the latest developments and exercise caution when trading the GBP/USD pair in the current market environment.