The EUR/GBP pair has recently fallen within a multi-month range that has been unfolding since January 2024. The pair has now reached a crucial level of support from two major moving averages – the 50 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) – located at 0.8566-67. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has also crossed below its red signal line, indicating a bearish trend. This suggests that EUR/GBP could potentially continue to fall within its range or channel.
With the bearish tone of the charts, the possibility exists that EUR/GBP could break below the support from the SMAs and continue to descend towards the range low at around 0.8540. On the other hand, there is a chance that the pair could bounce back from the support at the SMAs and start to rise towards the ceiling of the range at 0.8600. However, at the current moment, there are no clear indications from price action that a bullish reversal is in progress.
It is essential to keep an eye on the price developments of EUR/GBP in the coming days to see if any bullish signs begin to emerge. If the pair does break below the support from the SMAs, it could signal a continuation of the downward movement towards the range low. However, if EUR/GBP manages to recover from the support level, there might be a possibility of a short-term bullish reversal resulting in an upward movement towards the range high at 0.8600. However, until more concrete indications emerge, it is crucial to monitor the charts closely to identify any potential changes in direction.
Traders and investors will need to closely observe the key level of support at the SMAs around 0.8566-67 to gauge the future direction of EUR/GBP. A break below this support could lead to further downward movement, while a bounce from this level could pave the way for a potential upward reversal. With the absence of any clear bullish signals, it is crucial to remain cautious and wait for further confirmation before making any trading decisions. Monitoring the price action and technical indicators will be essential in determining the next move for EUR/GBP within its current range.