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Home » USD/INR falls after Indian PMI data
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USD/INR falls after Indian PMI data

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Last updated: 2024/05/02 at 7:20 AM
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The Indian Rupee (INR) showed strength on Thursday despite the weaker US Dollar (USD). India’s manufacturing sector remained robust in April, with the HSBC final India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) declining to 58.8 from 59.1 in March. This figure was above the neutral mark of 50.0, leading to a positive response from investors and causing the INR to trade on a stronger note. The USD failed to capitalize on the US Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the status quo on rates, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinting at a lower likelihood of rate hikes in the near future. This dovish stance weighed on the Greenback. However, the USD may see a boost due to the Fed’s cautious approach towards future rate cuts.

Indian Rupee (INR) recovered ground as demand conditions in India’s manufacturing sector improved in April. The bullish outlook for USD/INR remains intact as the pair forms an ascending triangle pattern and remains above the key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily timeframe. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory, supporting buyers. Initial support for USD/INR lies at the lower limit of the ascending triangle and the 100-day EMA, while resistance levels are at levels of 83.50, 83.71, and 84.00. The US Dollar was stronger against the Pound Sterling, according to the percentage change data shown.

Factors such as the price of Crude Oil, the value of the US Dollar in trade, and foreign investment levels influence the Indian Rupee (INR). The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervenes in the forex market to maintain exchange rate stability and adjusts interest rates to control inflation. Macroeconomic factors like inflation, interest rates, GDP growth, balance of trade, and foreign investment inflows also impact the value of the Rupee. Higher growth rates and less negative balance of trade lead to a stronger Rupee, while higher inflation can have both positive and negative effects on the currency.

The USD’s performance against other major currencies was mixed, with the USD showing strength against the Pound Sterling. The heat map demonstrates the percentage changes of major currencies against each other. Investors are closely watching US economic data, including Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. The Indian Rupee FAQs provide insights into how external factors, RBI interventions, and macroeconomic indicators influence the valuation of the Rupee. Overall, the Indian Rupee remains strong amid global market dynamics and RBI’s efforts to stabilize the currency.

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News Room May 2, 2024
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